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Peony

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Posts posted by Peony

  1. That’s a shame. I agree with you that streaming is an excellent method of ‘outreach’, probably far more effective than some of the other methods they use. As someone who was busier than usual during the pandemic (work, homeschool etc!) I haven’t watched much via streaming and seems like I’ve missed out now then! I know some have struggled with the technology but I don’t think these things necessarily have to go out live. 
    this country has taken an enormous gamble with not double vaccinating under 18s, whilst encouraging high infection numbers in that age group. Whether that will pay off for society is yet to be seen, I just hope our young people don’t end up with a high number of  long term complications. 

  2. Very few situations in life are black and white it comes down to a fine balancing act of positives against negatives. I’ve never felt any school to be totally perfect with no downsides. I feel for all the parents as it’s so difficult to know what is really going on. Teens are secretive and embarassed and immature, abusers are cunning and hide their behaviour. I think it’s a big mistake as a society to put the responsibility purely on parents, that’s why we have safeguarding to try and pick up patterns of behaviour that may seem insignificant alone. Parents are not going to be party to confidential safeguarding reports so are making decisions on very little information

    • Like 8
  3. If it’s past 6 months from your second jab the National portal should let you book. You can’t get on until it’s at least 6 months though. The 3rd dose for immunosupressed you have to wait for a notification which is confusing things a bit I think.

    AZ might last a bit longer but the effectiveness is lower to start with hence booster for all at 6 months (if you choose to)

  4. I went to book frozen and the top price was £99? lots available mid range and as a small theatre the mid price tickets still have a good view. Generally I think it’s much easier to book for a musical and get a good view  for around £50. 
    I don’t blame ROH for increasing prices but I haven’t booked

    and won’t be because it’s just too expensive to take a family. Many of the others including BRB and ENB and some musicals give considerable child discounts. 
    The purpose isn’t to criticise ROH, just saying it will be interesting to see whether they can sell at those prices. The demand is less than for some other theatre shows and many people are struggling financially. Last minute reductions are a viscous cycle of people waiting to book to see if they can get a discount, unsold seats aren’t good for anyone either. 

  5. 6 hours ago, DanJL said:

    Well the current best estimate is that 1 in 90 people in England are infected. Remembering that a third of those show no symptoms and a decent amount more will be in the early stages before symptoms appear. The vaccine cuts transition but only by a small amount. Then thinking about how many people at a packed venue will be sat within 2 metres of you, plus people you might encounter in the intervals etc. surely equates to somewhere near 1%?

     

    None of us are experts, but as mentioned above, the scientists that are experts generally recommend using masks indoors and do so themselves. 

     1 in 90 is the ONS estimate it’s not the actual testing figure which is lower. It includes those in early stages. And 2-15 year olds are the group most affected by about 2.5 x and they’re not that numerous at most general performances. Covid is rife amongst children how are almost all

    unvaccinated which skews the figures enormously. Over 93% of adults have antibodies to covid. Indicators are that the vaccine is still over 60% effective against delta.  The R number is below 1. Infection rate is dropping in all age groups apart from kids
     

    As Jan says above the experts don’t always agree. The truth is that nobody knows as it’s not straightforward and there’s a lack of information. You can see that in the widely inaccurate scientific modelling. I’m perfectly happy to go along with Chris Whitby’s advice myself as I find it pretty measured and sensible. However, I do dislike the way we’re all encouraged to judge others when they’re acting in a perfectly lawful manner. 
     

    • Like 2
  6. Just now, DanJL said:

    I think that statement is completely unjustified by any evidence. There is surely no doubt that in crowded, indoor situations if the majority of people wear masks there will some reduction in the number of people catching covid. Perhaps there are no definitive studies on how many, but any reduction in people catching this awful virus is surely to be appreciated. 

    It’s not unjustified to say it’s much less than 1% benefit overall, you just have to look at the statistics! Work out the probability of anyone having covid in the venue, then the probability that they will transit it (particularly if vaccinated), then the benefit of a mask. It comes to a very small number overall 

    • Like 2
  7. The effect will be much, much smaller than 1% reduction in cases though, because someone with covid would have to be present and transmit it.

    I have respiratory disease and genuinely can’t tolerate cloth so I’m unfortunately contributing to the enormous impact on the environment. Daughter has had to step up acne treatment because masks exacerbate it. It just depends when you think the down sides reach the tipping point. Personally I think that should be done by the qualified experts rather than on an individual basis 

  8. 3 hours ago, alison said:

    And people still getting "breakthrough" infections despite being vaccinated - not sure whether any patterns to this have been detected yet.

     On a population basis you’re about 60% less likely to test positive and less likely to transmit it. That includes the immunosupressed/  elderly who react less well to the vaccine so you’re particular risk depends on who you are. Young health people will be less than 60% less likely to get it. 
    It’s not quite as good as before we had delta but still very good. 
    presuming the majority of people who have covid will isolate because they have symptoms or are doing precautionary lateral flows the risk of you catching covid from some who has been vaccinated are pretty small, the extra benefit of a face covering is pretty tiny. Covid is endemic now so people will continue to get it. At some point there has to be a reassessment of what the benefits are. Personally I think as we’re still working out how to use the vaccines with boosters and longer courses for the immunosupressed, a lot of children still not vaccinated etc the small benefit is worth it but at some point that will change. Almost everyone was wearing one prior to rule changes so I really don’t think it’s fair to judge individuals or call them selfish. If there’s a benefit they should be mandated, the responsibility rests with our government 

    • Like 4
  9. Well here in the UK we subsidised people to buy fast food so manga books is a step up from that! Whilst not my thing they are quite beautifully drawn and I would class them as ‘art’. 
    I think the idea of these cards should really be to get people to spend money on things that they wouldn’t usually though. Uk government don’t like investing in young people or the arts so I don’t expect to see anything similar here!

    • Like 1
  10. I wonder why it’s from 14, perhaps younger children are free anyway though. 

    I think it’s a great idea. I think there are barriers other than cost in the UK, perhaps that is different elsewhere. I’ve been to various subsidised/ free access type events and I wouldn’t say there’s a very representative demographic attending. 
    3000 roubles is about £30 I wonder how many entries/ tickets that would be? 

    • Like 1
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